A shaky foundation?

(Jul 7, 2015)

As with anything that must combine reliable data with hard maths and sound judgement, forecasting mortality is difficult. When using stochastic projection models, reliable data is critical, since without it, we are building an ambitious structure on a shaky foundation. Even with seemingly straightforward all-cause data, problems can and do exist, but when working with mortality data classified by cause-of-death, the challenges are both numerous and difficult to navigate.

A key extra step in the generation of cause-of-death data is the classification process itself. We've previously discussed issues around changes in the classification systems used through time making it difficult to create a consistent…

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Tags: cause of death, autopsy

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