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Posts feedThe Mystery of the Non-fatal Deaths
In the course of a recent investigation, with my colleagues Dr Oytun Haçarız and Professor Torsten Kleinow, a key parameter was the mortality rate of persons suffering from Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy (HCM), an inherited heart disorder characterized by thickening of the left ventricular muscle wall. It is quite rare, so precision is not to be expected, and indeed an annual mortality rate of 1% \((q_x=0.01)\), independent of age \(x\), is widely cited. I
New year, new insights
Happy New Year to all our readers!
Boundless confidence?
We've talked repeatedly about a key advantage of statistical models over deterministic ones — specifically, that they provide confidence intervals in addition to a best estimate.
Shifting sands
In civil engineering, no building can be sounder than the foundation on which it rests. A similar comment applies to statistical analysis, which is obviously limited by the quality of the underlying data.